Former Deputy Assistant Secretary for Defense of Drug Enforcement Policy and Support and Latin American political annalyst Ana María Salazar talked on CNN about the potencial and major impacts of the new enforcement meassures that, if taken seriously and at the letter of the law, could generate a flood of deportations into Mexico.
The impact, says Ana María Salazar “It’s going to be huge, this is not going to made the United States safer”. The annalys appointed that General Secretary Kelly should know that, since he was head of the South Command. What this is going to do is that, the United States are going to have thousands and thousands of not only Mexicans but from other nationalities coming to the U.S. border where there could be an increase of violence and a possible humanitarian crisis. “You can imagine the worst case scenario, not only for Mexico by the way, but also for the United States,” the annalyst stated that “the United States need a safe, secure border and you don’t get it that way.”
The Mexicans that are in the United States Illegally and are foud to be in violation of the new parameters and they get sent across. But there are a third party deportees who are non Mexican citizens that the United States is anticipating sending to Mexico anyway.
For a whole set of reasons “Mexico is going to have to say no”, says the annalyst. There is already at the border potencially 10,000 Asians and 20,000 Cubans trying to cross into the United States and also Africans. The reason Mexico is going to have to say no is because the U.S. has to solve this problem now on their own. “Once you create this reef between both countries, not only because of this deportation issue, but also the NAFTA issue and the way Donald Trump it’s been speaking about Mexicans and the Mexican Government.” The problem the United States has right now is that the most important National Security partner that the United States needs, particularly on this issue, is Mexico.
With the reacent memorandum and the way it’s written, it’s clearly not only an anti-immigrant strategy, which is going to affect Mexicans in the U.S. but clearly is anti-Mexican because they want Mexico to assume the responsability of the United States.
The main push-back argument is the law, and it says that if you cross illegally into the United States, you are de facto a criminal and you are subject to deportation and that it is on Mexico to keep it’s own border, it’s own citizens under control.
If that is the argument, says Ana Maria, that would not apply right now because the number of Mexicans crossing into the United States has dramatically reduced. The United State’s problem of undocumented people in the United States is no longer a Mexican problem. People that they want to deport are people that has been living in the United States for the last then or fifteen years and already have children in the United States or have spouses who are American. That is not the security problem the United States should be concerned about. Ther is going to be massive deportations and some of them are going to be Mexicans, there are going to be Central Americans, Chinese, Africans. There is going to be people from all over the world and they want to send them to Mexico.
If there was a better discussion about this in therms of prioritizing what is a threat for the United States National Security, then you can develop a strategy in how to return these people home.
Homeland Security Secretary, John Kelly and Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson went to Mexico to see President Pena Nieto and the main explanation was that they came to pay respect and that certain progress was made. Of course in Mexico no one see respect or progress when they issued the memorandum the day before they were going to Mexico and the things they have been saying about Mexico. “What can you negotiate once you have this memorandum out there? If something General Kelly should know having travelled all over the world is that you can’t weaken your counterpart thinking that you are going to force them to do something that goes against their interests.”
Ana María thinks that this is the worst case scenario for both governments “with that memorandum what they did is to weaken U.S. security, not strengthen it.”